Normal monsoon may prompt rate cuts by RBI in Aug: Report
April 18, 2018  13:38
Following normal monsoon forecast, the Reserve Bank of India is expected to go for a 25 basis points rate cut in key rates in its policy review meet in August, says a report.


According to a Bank of America Merrill Lynch, normal rains should help to push rural demand, especially after a relatively poor rabi harvest.


"We grow more confident of our call of a 25 bps RBI rate cut on August 1 after the India Met forecast? a normal south-west monsoon at 97 per cent of long period average," the global financial services major said in a research note.


According to the India Meteorological Department, the country is likely to witness a normal monsoon this year. The monsoon will be 97 per cent of long period average, which is normal for the season.


The four-month monsoon season from June to September provides about 75 per cent of the annual rainfall to the country, where GDP is still largely driven by the agriculture sector. Several parts of India are witnessing agriculture distress and a good rainfall is likely to provide some relief.  PTI
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