Can India benefit if factories from China were relocated?
May 07, 2020  12:11
Illustration: Uttam Ghosh/Rediff.com
Illustration: Uttam Ghosh/Rediff.com
The Economic Research Department report from the State Bank of India, 'How can COVID benefit India with trade and factory diversion from China', authored by Dr Soumya Kanti Ghosh, group chief economic adviser of the bank, makes interesting observations.   

'Although, the Revealed Comparative Advantage for India is lower than China as far as Capital Goods Exports are concerned, India can still capitalise on this opportunity to push its Capital Goods exports,' it says.   

'However, the bigger opportunity right now is in consumer goods sector, in which India has an RCA greater than China.   

'For consumer goods sector, looking at the MSME profile of the country, the biggest concentration is in the textile and clothing sector(17.30%), food products (12.30%) and crop and animal production (10.0%).   

'Although we do have comparative advantage in textiles and animal goods, in food products we are not competitive. The government can give a direct push to this sector, so that MSME firms involved in food product manufacture get benefitted.   

'Although 2020 is a lost year in terms of trade, India can think long-term and build relations so that it can occupy the space vacated by China,' the report concludes. 'With just 1.7% in world's merchandise exports, India has a long road ahead to catch up with China. But it must be now, now and now!'   

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