Trump: 216, Clinton: 197

November 09, 2016 09:50

Trump wins North Carolina. Trump: 216, Clinton: 197

The big picture: Hillary Clinton is in trouble. The states to focus on are Pennsylvania (20 electoral votes), Michigan (16) and Wisconsin (10). If Clinton loses either of the larger states, she's finished. She has a path to an 269-269 electoral tie if she loses Wisconsin -- but she would have to win New Hampshire, which hasn't been called yet.

And an electoral tie, after passing through a thicket of constitutional logistics, likely represents a win for Trump, owing to a strong Republican majority in the House of Representatives and retained Republican control of the Senate, which looks very likely.

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