Do other member States share your optimism?Certainly it is shared by those with whom I had discussions. But, as I said, at the end of the day it is a political call.
The open ended discussion on Security Council reform has now moved to intergovernmental negotiations and at a press conference Afghan Ambassador Zahir Tanin, chair, intergovernmental negotiations, said that things are beginning to look up and that all member States had been requested to send proposals and positions before March 5. Has India sent the proposals?![](http://im.rediff.com/news/2006/nov/ia.gif)
For many years discussions took place under what is called the open ended working group. These discussions were by their very definition were open ended and they were not formal negotiations. But as of March last year, we have moved to a formal phase of intergovernmental negotiations and four rounds have been completed. These are now going to be text-based negotiations.
In any demand for reform those who seek reform are confronted by those who are comfortable with the status quo. As in all such cases you have to demonstrate as to who has greater number on their sides. An amendment of the charter can only take place only with two thirds majority in the first instance. Therefore, realizing this, the G-4, which consists of Brazil, India, Germany and Japan, decided towards the end of the last year that we need to demonstrate that the demand for expansion in both permanent and non-permanent categories enjoyed the requisite support. We could have put this to vote. But we thought in stead of asking for a vote on this issue we could do it slightly differently.
We decided to address a communication signed by 139 countries. This letter would have got more support but after we got more than 128, we wanted to submit it. Thereafter, a large number of countries have spoken to us saying they wanted to support this and join this. They are still free to join. So we have demonstrated that the requisite support is there.
So, has India submitted the proposals?The chairman has to produce the text. The Afghan ambassador gave March 5 as the deadline. As far as India is concerned, the G-4 has submitted a letter and the original G-4 proposal of 2005 has been resubmitted. Other interested countries have sent their proposals. It is my expectation that the chairman of the negotiating group, Ambassador Tanin, will put all these together, and then there will be a fifth round of discussions and those discussions will be qualitatively different from earlier discussions because they will be addressing a chairman's text in a formal text of negotiations.
The process could take time, but please note that we in the history of the UN have not reached this point earlier. I do not want to prejudge the issue. The question today is not whether we will get reform or not. I think that question has been answered--we will get reform. What we need to address is reform in what shape and by then. I think the two are interlinked because if you want half-hearted reform, you can get it very quickly. There are suggestions for pragmatic intermediate solutions.
So, when do you see this happening?This is only April and this is not the only activity on the table. My assessment is that issue of Security Council reform will come to head next year. Ambassador Tanin said he is going to produce the text in the second half of April, but then people will have to absorb the text and they have to comment on the text. Those negotiations will be extended and drawn out and at the end of that process, we will see another text where clearly options which are not viable or do not have support will be left out. But we will have to go through that process.
I think the chairman said that once the text is produced it is not going to be narrowed down in terms of choices and options. Do you see that as a problem?No, I do not. Firstly, we need to give assurance to all members that their proposals are reflected. This means that they must be given the satisfaction of seeing their proposals in writing. They must also have the satisfaction that others have commented on it. Let us say for example, hypothetically, that someone suggests that let's wind up the Security Council. That is an option that some nation can put on the table. But if 185 countries speak up against it, clearly in the options paper that will appear this will not be a viable option.
How optimistic are you about India's chances of making it into the Security Council next year as a non-permanent member? When we started off for this in 2006, there were two other candidates, Thailand and Kazakhstan. Thailand withdrew and then in December of 2009 Kazakhstan withdrew from the race and we were endorsed by the Asian group in March 2010. So, now we are the only candidate and the only endorsed candidate. Now we have to go through the formal election process in October.
That is just a formality, right?I won't say that. We will have to go through the process and we have to get 128 votes. But I am reasonably sure that we will get the required number of votes to make it to the Security Council table in January 2011.