India should carefully weigh China's strategic intentions
July 29, 2014  01:34

All indications are that Prime Minister Modi government in India is going to continue its predecessor's policy of 'engaging' the People's Republic of China (PRC). Within a short time of taking over, it has taken  initiatives to improve bilateral political, military and economic relations with Beijing; they  have  led to certain positive results; notable are the prospects that have emerged  for establishment of Chinese industrial parks in India during the late June 2014 visit to Beijing of an  Indian delegation led by Vice-President Ansari and for increased military contacts between the two sides at the time of the  trip to Beijing of the  Indian Army chief, Bikram Singh in early July 2014.  

 

Modi has met the Chinese President Xi Jinping at the sidelines of Brazil-Russia-India-China-South Africa (BRICS) summit held in Brazil in mid-July 2014.  On its part, the People's Republic of China (PRC) lost no time in sending its Foreign Minister Wang Yi to meet India's new leadership; this taken together with a reported proposal for a visit to India by Chinese President Xi Jinping in September this year , has signaled PRC's priority  to strengthen contacts with the new regime in India.

 

There are reasons to believe that the present bonhomie with Beijing as only a tactical phase in which the two sides find their interests, especially economic, converge. India seems to be far away from fully developing a strategic vision for itself, while China's future outlook already stands concrete and well documented.

 

In any case, one cannot miss the divergence between India's long term view seen so far and the already firm and well documented China's postulates set to determine its future world position. Looking from India's point of view, the task for it to begin crafting  a sound long term strategy towards China capable of handling such divergence, thus, assumes priority,  noting the increasing contradictions in Chinese foreign policy  and the emerging uncertainties  in regional geopolitics, especially as an offshoot of the impending US withdrawal from Afghanistan.  It needs to be acknowledged that New Delhi has already shown signs of change with respect to its China policy.

 

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